As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 21% probability that the U.S. federal government announces commitments totaling at least $15 billion in federal financial assistance toward construction of the Sunnyside Yard deck in New York City before Jan 1, 2028. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 1, 2028”: If the U.S. federal government announces commitments totaling at least $15 billion in federal financial assistance toward construction of the Sunnyside Yard deck in New York City before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A commitment requires an enacted project-specific appropriation, a legally binding award, or an executed federal financial-assistance agreement. Disbursement is not required. Proposals and nonbinding statements of support do not qualify. Resolved using Economic Development Administration, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and U.S. Department of Transportation, Build America Bureau.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Before Jan 1, 2028” leads at 21%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Jul 1, 2027”, is at 7%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
