As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 7% probability that Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1.4 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027. 9 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “More than $1.4 trillion”: If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1.4 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Forbes.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 9 outcomes. “More than $1.4 trillion” leads at 7%, down from 12% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “More than $1.5 trillion”, is at 7%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
