As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 1.0%. 6 outcomes · resolves Jan 13, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 1.0%”: If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The underlying is the unadjusted 12-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, for “Food at home,” as first published by BLS for December 2026. The published percentage change will be used directly, without recalculating it from index levels. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Above 1.0%” leads at 99%, up from 95% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 1.5%”, is at 87%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 13, 2027.
