As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 2% probability that the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 20, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The case must meet the following requirements: (1) The petition for certiorari explicitly raises a claim or question under the Third Amendment to the United States Constitution as a question presented; OR (2) The lower court decision being appealed explicitly addressed a Third Amendment claim on the merits; OR (3) The Supreme Court's order granting certiorari explicitly identifies a Third Amendment issue as a question for review. Resolved using Supreme Court.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 2%, down from 11% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 20, 2029.
