As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 66% probability that the preliminary number of tornadoes in Nov is above 25. 11 outcomes · resolves Nov 30, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 25”: If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Nov is above 25 , then the market resolves to Yes. The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary." Resolved using National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
