As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 95% probability that the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT West Hub is above $0/MWh for the week ending November 13, 2026. 7 outcomes · resolves Nov 13, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $0/MWh”: If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT West Hub is above $0/MWh for the week ending November 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Period: November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST to November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Resolved using Electric Reliability Council of Texas, Inc. (ERCOT).