As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027. 7 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Sam Altman”: If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied. Resolved using Apple Podcasts, The Source Agencies are and HBO Max.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Sam Altman” leads at 97%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Marc Andreessen”, is at 39%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
