As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 5% probability that Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI or Sébastien Bubeck before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI or Sébastien Bubeck before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Resolved using ABC, Associated Press and The Wall Street Journal.
This Ai market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 5%, down from 12% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
