As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that Nick Begich III wins the Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election in 2026. 7 outcomes · resolves Nov 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Nick Begich III”: If Nick Begich III wins the Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Resolved using Attorney General of the United States.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Nick Begich III” leads at 98%, up from 88% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Bill Hill”, is at 3%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 3, 2027.
