As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that EIA reports that New Mexico’s field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 819.225 million barrels. 2 outcomes · resolves Feb 26, 2027.
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If EIA reports that New Mexico’s field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 819.225 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s New Mexico Field Production of Crude Oil annual total for 2026. EIA reports this statistic in thousand barrels, so the fixed threshold is 819,225 thousand barrels. The threshold will not change if EIA later revises its 2025 value. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 96%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 26, 2027.
