As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 52% probability that the winner of the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election is Brothers of Italy. 5 outcomes · resolves Dec 30, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Brothers of Italy”: If the winner of the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election is Brothers of Italy, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Brothers of Italy” leads at 52%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Five Star Movement”, is at 46%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 30, 2028.
