As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that Gary McCoy wins the 2026 San Francisco Board of Supervisors District 8 election. 4 outcomes · resolves Nov 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Gary McCoy”: If Gary McCoy wins the 2026 San Francisco Board of Supervisors District 8 election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Resolved using San Francisco Department of Elections.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Gary McCoy” leads at 99%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Manny Yekutiel”, is at 15%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 3, 2027.
