As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 22% probability that Sam Altman has testified in front of Congress before Jan 1, 2027. 13 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Sam Altman”: If Sam Altman has testified in front of Congress after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes. In-person, remote, and/or virtual testimony during an official hearing or deposition of the House or Senate (including committees, subcommittees, and joint committees) qualifies. Testifying in a closed-door session also qualifies. Submitting written testimony without appearing live does not qualify. Resolved using Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 13 outcomes. “Sam Altman” leads at 22%, down from 32% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Mark Zuckerberg”, is at 11%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
