As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that Paul Mescal is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4. 23 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Paul Mescal”: If Paul Mescal is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 23 outcomes. “Paul Mescal” leads at 97%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Andrew Scott”, is at 39%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
