As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 545,000 jobs. 6 outcomes · resolves Apr 30, 2027.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 545,000 jobs”: If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 545,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry. Employment is measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published annual-average value will be used rather than independently averaging monthly estimates. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Above 545,000 jobs” leads at 96%, down from 97% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 550,000 jobs”, is at 95%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 30, 2027.
