As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 21% probability that the answer to “Will Obamacare be repealed?” is Yes. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 20, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If a bill becomes law after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029 that does any of the following: (1) ends the shared responsibility (penalty) provisions for employers, or reduces those penalties to $0; (2) eliminates the expansion of Medicaid eligibility to non-elderly adults with incomes up to 133% of the poverty level; (3) ends the prohibition on coverage exclusions based on pre existing conditions; (4) redefines the term “dependent” for the purposes of the ACA’s employer shared responsibility provisions from meaning a child under 26 to a child under 18 or younger; or (5) ends premium subsidies for individuals whose household incomes are between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level for premiums purchased on an ACA exchange, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 21%, down from 22% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 20, 2029.
