As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 1% probability that Jacob Frey leaves as Mayor of Minneapolis before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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If Jacob Frey leaves as Mayor of Minneapolis before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Jacob Frey must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Resolved using The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News and The Washington Post.
