As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 11% probability that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election. 27 outcomes · resolves Jan 6, 2030.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez”: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The winner is the person elected Vice President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029: the candidate receiving a majority of electoral votes for Vice President as counted by Congress, or the person chosen by the Senate under the Twelfth Amendment if no candidate receives a majority. Resolved using U.S. Senate and National Archives and Records Administration.
