As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that Pro Basketball officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Mexico City before Jan 1, 2028. 3 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Mexico City”: If Pro Basketball officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Mexico City before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The league must officially announce that the city has been awarded an expansion franchise. This requires formal approval by the league's Board of Governors or equivalent governing body specifically naming the city. Preliminary discussions, stadium approvals without franchise awards, feasibility studies, or being named as a potential market do not qualify. Resolved using Fox Sports and ESPN.
