As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 19% probability that Lisa DeNell Cook leaves or announces that they will leave their position as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 1, 2029. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 2029”: If Lisa DeNell Cook leaves or announces that they will leave their position as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that they will leave office is sufficient to immediately resolve the market to Yes. However, the announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. Resolved using The Washington Post, Fox News and MSNBC.
