As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 47% probability that Conor Lamb wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat. 15 outcomes · resolves Nov 7, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Conor Lamb”: If Conor Lamb wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Republican Party and Democratic Party.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 15 outcomes. “Conor Lamb” leads at 47%, up from 12% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Summer Lee”, is at 27%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 7, 2029.
