As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 59% probability that the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill impeaching the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028. 10 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 1, 2028”: If the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill impeaching the President of the United States after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must hold the office when an impeachment resolution passes against him or her . Resolved using Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 10 outcomes. “Before Jan 1, 2028” leads at 59%, down from 71% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Oct 1, 2027”, is at 51%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2028.
