As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 89% probability that the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027 is strictly greater than 15 inches. 6 outcomes · resolves Apr 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 15 inches”: If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027 is strictly greater than 15 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is the sum of The Weather Company's daily precipitation values at KAPC from November 1, 2026 through March 31, 2027, inclusive, using its reporting days. If The Weather Company publishes a total for that exact period, that total takes precedence. Data: https://weather.com/kalshi. Resolved using The Weather Company.
This Climate and Weather market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Above 15 inches” leads at 89%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 10 inches”, is at 76%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 1, 2027.
