As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 7% probability that the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 20, 2029.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before January 20, 2029”: If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using The New York Times.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Before January 20, 2029” leads at 7%, down from 10% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before 2027”, is at 1%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 20, 2029.