As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 89% probability that Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027. 5 outcomes · resolves Dec 30, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Dec 31, 2027”: If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Resolved using Anthropic.
