As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 2% probability that the highest auction sale price of any Leonardo da Vinci artwork sold at auction on any public auction house reporting final sale prices is above $450312500 in 2026. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the highest auction sale price of any Leonardo da Vinci artwork sold at auction on any public auction house reporting final sale prices is above $450312500 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. “Sale Price” refers to the final publicly reported realized price of the artwork, including buyer’s premium and auction fees, as reported by the relevant Source Agency. Resolved using Sotheby’s, Phillips and Christie’s.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 2%, down from 5% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
