As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 21% probability that Martin O’Malley formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so. 34 outcomes · resolves Jan 8, 2045.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Martin O’Malley”: If Martin O’Malley formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Deutsche Welle, ABC and BBC News.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 34 outcomes. “Martin O’Malley” leads at 21%, up from 20% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Faiz Shakir”, is at 19%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 8, 2045.
