As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 86% probability that Beyoncé performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027. 12 outcomes · resolves Jan 8, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Beyoncé”: If Beyoncé performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. Resolved using Deadline, ABC and The Source Agencies are.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 12 outcomes. “Beyoncé” leads at 86%, up from 25% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “U2”, is at 47%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 8, 2028.
