As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 78% probability that the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting. 5 outcomes · resolves Dec 4, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Hike 1-25bps”: If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. Resolved using Reserve Bank of India and Trading Economics.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Hike 1-25bps” leads at 78%, up from 66% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Maintain current rate”, is at 9%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 4, 2026.
