As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 87.5 TWh. 7 outcomes · resolves Feb 28, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 87.5 TWh”: If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 87.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Illinois’s calendar-year total nuclear electricity net generation, expressed in terawatt-hours (TWh). EIA reports the underlying generation data in megawatthours (MWh); 1 TWh = 1,000,000 MWh. Generation from nuclear facilities located in Illinois is included. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Above 87.5 TWh” leads at 98%, up from 96% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 90.0 TWh”, is at 97%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 28, 2027.
