As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 950 units. 6 outcomes · resolves May 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 950 units”: If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 950 units, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Total housing-units-authorized figure for the Bozeman, MT CBSA in the Census Building Permits Survey’s final annual 2026 data. All residential structure types are included: one-unit, two-unit, three- and four-unit, and structures with five or more units. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Above 950 units” leads at 97%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 1,100 units”, is at 95%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes May 31, 2027.
