As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 87% probability that the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $750. 5 outcomes · resolves Sep 20, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $750”: If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $750, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or similar payment in the reported PFD amount, that amount is included; separately reported payments not included in the official PFD amount are excluded. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Above $750” leads at 87%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above $1,000”, is at 73%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Sep 20, 2027.
