As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 4% probability that ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 92,000 MW. 7 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 92,000 MW”: If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 92,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use ERCOT’s integrated system load for a full hour. Instantaneous load readings will not be considered. ERCOT’s preliminary peak-demand figures may change during the settlement process. Resolution will use the applicable official settled peak-demand value published by ERCOT. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Above 92,000 MW” leads at 4%, down from 5% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 92,500 MW”, is at 4%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
