As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 45% probability that a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029. 4 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before 2029”: If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not constitute a rate increase. Laws passed by New York State are encompassed within the Payout Criterion if they apply to or govern New York City. Resolved using The White House, ABC and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Before 2029” leads at 45%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before 2030”, is at 40%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2029.
