As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 8% probability that the price of NEAR and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.50. 3 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Below $1.50”: If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.50, then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. Resolved using CF Benchmarks.
This Crypto market on OpinionKings has 3 outcomes. “Below $1.50” leads at 8%, up from 2% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Below $0.50”, is at 1%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
