As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above 2.40 billion pounds. 5 outcomes · resolves Apr 30, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 2.40 billion pounds”: If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above 2.40 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Disposition, and Income annual report. Production is measured in pounds. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Above 2.40 billion pounds” leads at 97%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 2.45 billion pounds”, is at 96%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 30, 2027.
