As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 17% probability that any U.S. state experiences a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 30, 2036.
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If any U.S. state experiences a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using The Wall Street Journal, BBC News and The Washington Post.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 17%, down from 18% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 30, 2036.
