As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 3% probability that Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, the person is released from government custody when they are no longer subject to physical detention or imprisonment imposed by any government authority. This includes release from prisons, jails, detention centers, immigration facilities, military detention, or any other form of government-imposed physical confinement at a government-run facility. Resolved using ABC, Axios and BBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 3%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
