As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 32% probability that Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027. 17 outcomes · resolves Jan 5, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Rebeca Grynspan”: If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. Resolved using The Washington Post, ESPN and NBC.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 17 outcomes. “Rebeca Grynspan” leads at 32%, up from 26% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Lana Nusseibeh”, is at 24%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 5, 2027.
