As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 66% probability that the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.50%. 8 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Exactly 2.50%”: If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. The “overnight rate target” refers to the Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate, not the Bank Rate, deposit rate, Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average, prime rate, bond yields, or any other interest rate. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Exactly 2.50%” leads at 66%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Exactly 2.75%”, is at 36%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
