As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 18% probability that the Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $4 in 2026. 4 outcomes · resolves Apr 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “$4/MTok or below”: If the Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the price listed of the Input Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. Resolved using Anthropic.
