As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 38% probability that NYC subway ridership reaches a seven-day average of at least 4.19 riders before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “4.19 million”: If NYC subway ridership reaches a seven-day average of at least 4.19 riders before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The subway had an average daily ridership of 4.65 million persons in 2019. Resolved using Metropolitan Transportation Authority.
