As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that the total snowfall recorded at Mammoth Mountain October 1, 2026 through December 24, 2026 (value recorded at 4:00 PM ET on December 24) is above 140 inches. 11 outcomes · resolves Dec 24, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 140 inches”: If the total snowfall recorded at Mammoth Mountain October 1, 2026 through December 24, 2026 (value recorded at 4:00 PM ET on December 24) is above 140 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Snowfall means new snow accumulation officially measured at Mammoth Mountain's designated on-mountain measurement location; base depth, summit depth, forecasts, projections, and anticipated totals do not count. Resolved using OnTheSnow, The Wall Street Journal and Alterra Mountain Company.
