As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that USDA NASS reports that Nebraska’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2026 is above 170 bu/acre. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 170 bu/acre”: If USDA NASS reports that Nebraska’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2026 is above 170 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Nebraska’s corn for grain yield for the 2026 crop, measured in bushels per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS. Corn silage will not be considered. Use CORN → CORN, GRAIN → Yield. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Above 170 bu/acre” leads at 97%, up from 95% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 175 bu/acre”, is at 91%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 31, 2027.
