As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 43% probability that Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Mar 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Mar 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Mar 1, 2027”: If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. Resolved using AP, ABC and Fox News.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Before Mar 1, 2027” leads at 43%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Jan 1, 2027”, is at 24%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 1, 2027.
