As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 8% probability that the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6000.01. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “6,000 or below”: If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6000.01, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using For example, Google Finance.
This Financials market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “6,000 or below” leads at 8%, up from 2% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “6,300 or below”, is at 6%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
