As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 94% probability that Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska happens in China before Jan 1, 2029. 10 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “China”: If Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska happens in China before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using The Washington Post, ABC and The Information.
This Social market on OpinionKings has 10 outcomes. “China” leads at 94%, up from 81% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “New York City”, is at 4%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2028.
