As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 5% probability that the MLBPA and MLB agree to any new CBA (Collective Bargaining Agreement) after Jul 8, 2026 and before Dec 2, 2026. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 1, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the MLBPA and MLB agree to any new CBA (Collective Bargaining Agreement) after Jul 8, 2026 and before Dec 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A public announcement of a reached agreement or agreement in principle is sufficient to satisfy the Payout Criterion, unless otherwise specified. Formal execution or ratification is not required if such an announcement occurs within the specified time period. Resolved using Sportico, The Athletic and Sports Business Journal.
