As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 45% probability that any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jul 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jul 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jul 1, 2027”: If any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate. Resolved using Library of Congress.
