As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 15% probability that Elon Musk has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027. 37 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Elon Musk”: If Elon Musk has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using White House and New York Times.
